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Location: Pantego, Texas, United States

Thursday, November 22, 2007

The IPCC had to get rid of the Medeival Warm Period and the Little Ice Age from the temperature history of earth in order to cause alarm about the temperature increase in the twentieth century. A lot of emails were passed among the scientists on the iPCC about how this was necessary. The so-called Mann hockey stick graph did the trick for them. It was based on tree ring dtata, and in some time periods, only on one tree. I was always skeptical about the tree ring data because precipitation can affect tree growth more than temperature. Here is another reconstruction of past temperatures that I got from the blog "Greenie Watch." The graph didn't show up when I copied it. The source is here:

http://www.ncasi.org/publications/Detail.aspx?id=3025


A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-treering proxies

By Loehle, C.

Historical data provide a baseline for judging how anomalous recent temperature changes are and for assessing the degree to which organisms are likely to be adversely affected by current or future warming. Climate histories are commonly reconstructed from a variety of sources, including ice cores, tree rings, and sediment. Tree-ring data, being the most abundant for recent centuries, tend to dominate reconstructions. There are reasons to believe that tree ring data may not properly capture long-term climate changes. In this study, eighteen 2000-year-long series were obtained that were not based on tree ring data. Data in each series were smoothed with a 30-year running mean. All data were then converted to anomalies by subtracting the mean of each series from that series. The overall mean series was then computed by simple averaging. The mean time series shows quite coherent structure. The mean series shows the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) quite clearly, with the MWP being approximately 0.3°C warmer than 20th century values at these eighteen sites.

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