Here is a just released paper by Lord Monckton that details and critiques the analysis behind the global warming hypothesis, and some of the issues regarding the projection of apocalyptic atmospheric temperature increases. Lord Monckton covers the subject very well, explaining what the Stefan-Boltzmann Constant is, what the Clausius-Clapyron equation represents and why it is important, etc. (Who would have thought that a British Lord would be this smart. He must be a Lord through merit rather than heredity.) This paper contains more detailed analyses than I have done myself. I didn’t look at how the IPCC did their analysis, but rather did mine independently. I did get the same answer that Hansen did regarding the effects on temperature of increased CO2 concentration acting alone. I did not agree with the Hansen/IPCC analysis that included a significant positive feedback from increased water vapor in the atmosphere. As has been widely discussed, recent satellite data does not support the IPCC assumption regarding water vapor in the atmosphere in the mid-tropics or temperature increase in that region. I also had a problem with Climatologists doing feedback control analysis on a dynamic, non-linear system such as the Earth’s climate. As is discussed in this paper they used the Bode equation which is inadequate for a non-linear system. The climatologists are probably as inadequate in system control theory as they have proved to be with statistics. As this paper shows, the IPCC temperature projections have simply not come true. (By the way, the IPCC’s chief climate modeler, Kevin Trenberth, always says that their analysis yields projections based on the assumed scenario rather than predictions.) Here is Lord Monckton’s paper.



http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm